Friday, January 8, 2010

US employment is WORSENING


Current wisdom is that the US employment situation is improving with initial and continuing unemployment claims dropping. However...

A quirk of the US is that continuing claims are time limited (26 weeks I think), so that individuals drop of the register when their time is up. This is leading to a 'fall' in continuing claims which has economists predicting recovery.

So what is happening to those who's benefits run out... they transfer to Emergency Unemployment Compensation which just rose 43% in one month! The combined total of continuing claims and EUC just reached a new high. See below:


This has profound implications for the US and global recovery....

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